Economist and investor Jon Hartley is currently a research fellow at the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity, a senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, and a research associate at the Hoover Institution. Mr. Hartley is also the host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century economics podcast, a member of the Canadian Group of Economists, and chair of the Economic Club of Miami.
Jon is an economist, investor, and researcher affiliated with multiple think tanks, as well as host of the Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century podcast. In this session, Jon will share his outlook for domestic and foreign capital markets—and how investors can best adapt to current and future trends. Among the topics he’ll cover are how commercial real estate has been impacted by the work-from-home movement, why inflation appears to be subsiding, and what the fading of recession fears means for equities.
Commercial real estate prices have been falling, particularly in the office market. Bank lending has tightened up, while the Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities market has weakened. After falling more than 26% in 2022, the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) has dipped by another couple of percentage points in the last 12 months.
And that’s GOOD news. Here is why—while many developers, financial institutions, and real estate investors have retrenched in the last 12-18 months, that was necessary given previous exuberance. We’re also seeing signs the worst may soon be over. Private real estate valuations dipped just 1.9% in Q3 2023. That was down from 5% at year-end 2022 and the fourth quarter of slowing declines.
At this panel, find out how you can capitalize on these three trends—including which five REIT stocks and funds you should buy to generate the most profit and income as the outlook improves.